3 Jul · 22:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1492
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vich
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1506
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Vich
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H41-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.