3 Jul · 16:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1459
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rolik
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1443
FormWWLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H64-84
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.