4 Jul · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1648
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Brozek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1602
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H86-77
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.