4 Jul · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1626
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vesecky
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1722
FormWLLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H56-42
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-42)