4 Jul · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1722
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vesecky
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1648
FormWWLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H42-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-19)