4 Jul · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jan Muska
ELO 1552
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Muska
JJ
🇨🇿Jakub Joksch
ELO 1477
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Muska
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)