4 Jul · 20:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1571
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1572
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H16-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.