4 Jul · 21:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1571
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kleprlik
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1584
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H10-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.