4 Jul · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1530
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Drozd
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1447
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)