4 Jul · 16:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1447
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chlad
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1464
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.