4 Jul · 20:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1584
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kleprlik
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1572
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H26-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.