4 Jul · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1530
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Drozd
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1464
FormWWLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H6-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)