4 Jul · 18:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1464
FormWWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Matus
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1549
FormWLLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Matus
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H3-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)