4 Jul · 18:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1486
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1499
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.