4 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1431
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1499
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H81-68
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (81-68)