4 Jul · 19:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OH
🇨🇿Ondrej Hula
ELO 1470
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1486
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.