4 Jul · 17:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1431
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hula
OH
🇨🇿Ondrej Hula
ELO 1470
FormLWLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Hula
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.