4 Jul · 22:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1630
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1691
FormLWWLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H43-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-19)