4 Jul · 22:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1691
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cerny
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1691
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+0
H2H48-51
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.