4 Jul · 23:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1494
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Bucko
DB
🇨🇿Damian Bucko
ELO 1566
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Bucko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H40-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-38)