5 Jul · 09:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1511
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zeman
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1421
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H82-68
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (82-68)