5 Jul · 09:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1652
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Brozek
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1616
FormLLWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H6-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.