5 Jul · 11:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1616
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fiklik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1628
FormLLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H16-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.