5 Jul · 14:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1459
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dohnal
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1527
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H61-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-34)