5 Jul · 10:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1652
FormWWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Brozek
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1514
FormWLLWW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+138
H2H49-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-25)