5 Jul · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1469
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Osmera
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1579
FormWLWWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Osmera
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H22-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-17)