5 Jul · 10:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Brynych
ELO 1415
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1511
FormWWLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H12-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-2)