5 Jul · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1628
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Fiklik
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1514
FormWLLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H50-43
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-43)