5 Jul · 13:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1527
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Osmera
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1579
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Osmera
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H10-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.