5 Jul · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Hitzger
ELO 1684
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hitzger
JB
🇨🇿Jiri Babinek
ELO 1584
FormWWLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Hitzger
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)