5 Jul · 20:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1520
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1536
FormWWWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H10-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.