5 Jul · 21:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1442
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Tlusty
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1436
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Tlusty
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H10-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.