5 Jul · 18:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1559
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sykora
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1538
FormWWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.