5 Jul · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1551
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1615
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H14-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-7)