5 Jul · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1484
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Varecka
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1538
FormWWLLL
46%
54%
🌟Zahradka rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (12)
Fair odds · Varecka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H11-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.