5 Jul · 22:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1455
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Varecka
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1538
FormWWLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Varecka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H7-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)