5 Jul · 21:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1474
FormLWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1624
FormWWLWL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+150
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)