5 Jul · 22:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1527
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jr
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1482
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H10-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.