5 Jul · 18:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fnukal
ELO 1549
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Chvatal
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1589
FormWLWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Chvatal
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.