6 Jul · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1498
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zeman
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1421
FormLLWWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H82-69
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (82-69)