6 Jul · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1625
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vorisek
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1645
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H171-143
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.