6 Jul · 13:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1498
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zeman
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1478
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H65-48
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.