6 Jul · 14:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1629
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zacharda
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1611
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Zacharda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H10-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.