6 Jul · 14:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1478
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rolik
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1421
FormLLWWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H68-84
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)