6 Jul · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VB
🇨🇿Vit Benak
ELO 1615
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vorisek
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1645
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H24-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.