6 Jul · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1629
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zacharda
PD
🇨🇿Petr Dvorak
ELO 1535
FormWLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Zacharda
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)