6 Jul · 15:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1638
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Moravec
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1454
FormLLLLL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+184
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)