6 Jul · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1566
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1616
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H28-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.