6 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki
ELO 1555
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Burkacki
ES
🇨🇿Eryk Skura
ELO 1471
FormWLLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Burkacki
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)