6 Jul · 18:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1490
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zahradka
MB
🇨🇿Matej Beran
ELO 1487
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.